2022 Saarland state election - Biblioteka.sk

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2022 Saarland state election
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2022 Saarland state election

← 2017 27 March 2022 2027 →

All 51 seats in the Landtag of Saarland
26 seats needed for a majority
Turnout458,223 (61.4% Decrease 8.3pp)
  First party Second party Third party
 
2022-03-27 Wahlabend Saarland by Sandro Halank–061.jpg
Tobias Hans-6779.jpg
AfD
Candidate Anke Rehlinger Tobias Hans None[a]
Party SPD CDU AfD
Last election 17 seats, 29.6% 24 seats, 40.7% 3 seats, 6.2%
Seats won 29 19 3
Seat change Increase 12 Decrease 5 Steady 0
Popular vote 196,801 129,154 25,719
Percentage 43.5% 28.5% 5.7%
Swing Increase 13.9pp Decrease 12.2pp Decrease 0.5pp

  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
 
2022-03-27 Wahlabend Saarland by Sandro Halank–080.jpg
2022-03-27 Wahlabend Saarland by Sandro Halank–038.jpg
2022-03-27 Wahlabend Saarland by Sandro Halank–070.jpg
Candidate Lisa Becker Angelika Hießerich-Peter Barbara Spaniol
Party Greens FDP Left
Last election 0 seats, 4.0% 0 seats, 3.3% 7 seats, 12.8%
Seats won 0 0 0
Seat change Steady Steady Decrease 7
Popular vote 22,598 21,618 11,689
Percentage 4.995% 4.8% 2.6%
Swing Increase 1.0pp Increase 1.5pp Decrease 10.3pp

Results of the election

Government before election

Hans cabinet
CDUSPD

Government after election

Rehlinger cabinet
SPD

The 2022 Saarland state election was held on 27 March 2022 to elect the 17th Landtag of Saarland. The outgoing government was a coalition of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and Social Democratic Party (SPD) led by Minister-President Tobias Hans.

The election was won by the SPD in a historic landslide, capturing a majority in the Landtag and winning at least a plurality in all municipalities of Saarland, largely attributed to the personal popularity of longtime Deputy Minister-President Anke Rehlinger. This election was the first time since the 2017 North Rhine-Westphalia state election that an incumbent Minister-President was defeated for re-election, with the largest margin of defeat since the 2011 Hamburg state election, the first time since the 2013 Bavarian state election that a party received an absolute majority in a Landtag,[1] as well as the first time since 1994 that the SPD did so in the Saarland.

Overall, the SPD won 43.5% of votes to the CDU's 28.5%, a swing of fifteen percentage points between them. The Left lost all their seats after suffering a decline of ten points. The Alternative for Germany became the only minor party in the Landtag with just under 6%, while The Greens fell just 23 votes short of the 5% electoral threshold to win seats. The Free Democratic Party also failed to enter the Landtag with 4.8%. A total of 22.3% of votes did not translate into seats due to the electoral threshold, a record high in any state election.[2]

Election date

The Landtag is elected for five years, with its term commencing when the new Landtag first meets.[3] As the previous election took place on 26 March 2017, the next election was required to take place before April 2022.

Electoral system

The 51 members of the Landtag are elected via closed list proportional representation using the d'Hondt method. 41 seats are distributed in three multi-member constituencies, and the remaining ten at the state level.[4] An electoral threshold of 5% of valid votes is applied to the Landtag; parties that fall below this threshold are ineligible to receive seats.[3]

Background

In the previous election held on 26 March 2017, the CDU remained the largest party with 40.7% of votes cast, an increase of 5.5 percentage points. The SPD declined slightly to 29.6%. The Left fell to 12.8%, a decline of 3.3 points. Alternative for Germany (AfD) contested its first election in Saarland, winning 6.2%. The Greens lost their representation in the Landtag with a result of 4.0%.

The CDU had led a grand coalition with the SPD since 2012 under Minister-President Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer, which was renewed after the election. Kramp-Karrenbauer resigned as Minister-President after her, ultimately unsuccessful, entry into federal politics in February 2018, and was succeeded by Tobias Hans as Minister-President in March and as state CDU leader in October 2018.

Even though the Saarland is the second smallest state by population and does not represent Germany as a whole demographically, the election proved to be of pivotal importance to the following state elections and in particular the federal election later that year. New SPD lead candidate Martin Schulz led the party to a resurgence nationally in early 2017, and polls showed the SPD within striking distance of winning in Saarland. However, the clear CDU victory marked the beginning of a decline on both the federal level and in other states. This resulted in heavy losses for the SPD in Schleswig-Holstein, in North Rhine-Westphalia and, ultimately, in the 2017 German federal election. Similarly, the 2022 election was seen as a test both for the ruling Scholz cabinet and new CDU leader Friedrich Merz, and would set the tone for several more state elections throughout the year.

Until July 2021, the CDU had a solid lead in opinion polling. However, following the decline of the CDU on the federal level, the SPD surged ahead, cemented by the personal popularity of longtime Deputy Minister-President Anke Rehlinger.

Parties

The table below lists parties represented in the 16th Landtag of Saarland.

Name Ideology Lead
candidate
2017 result At dissolution
Votes (%) Seats
CDU Christian Democratic Union of Germany
Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands
Christian democracy Tobias Hans 40.7%
24 / 51
24 / 51
SPD Social Democratic Party of Germany
Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands
Social democracy Anke Rehlinger 29.6%
17 / 51
17 / 51
Linke The Left
Die Linke
Democratic socialism Barbara Spaniol 12.8%
7 / 51
5 / 51
2 / 51
[b]
AfD Alternative for Germany
Alternative für Deutschland
Right-wing populism N/A[a] 6.2%
3 / 51
2 / 51
Independents
0 / 51
1 / 51

In addition to the parties already represented in the Landtag, fourteen parties collected enough signatures to be placed on the ballot.[5]

Lead candidates

The Left

Since at least 2017, the Saarland branch of The Left was embroiled into a dispute between Thomas Lutze, state treasurer from 2013 to 2017 and chairman since 2019, and Oskar Lafontaine, parliamentary leader since 2009. Lutze was accused of manipulating internal party elections by forging documents and fraudulently paying membership dues.[6] Public audits from 2017 to 2020 and a federal review in 2021 provided no evidence of irregularities.[7] The Saarbrücken public prosecutor's office began an investigation into Lutze in March 2021, but the case was dropped in January 2022.[8][9]

In May 2021, the state executive requested that Lafontaine and former state chairwoman Astrid Schramm resign from the party, accusing them of being "the driving force behind the internal mudslinging that has been going on for years at the party's expense". They refused.[10] After the federal election in September, Lafontaine announced that he would not seek re-election to the Landtag in the upcoming state election.[11]

On 2 November 2021, deputy state chairwoman Barbara Spaniol was expelled from the Left parliamentary faction, accused of "supporting the public attacks by the state chairman against the Left faction".[12] On 10 November, she founded the Saar-Linke parliamentary group with Dagmar Ensch-Engel, who had previously resigned from the Left faction in 2018 after facing pressure from the Lafontaine camp.[6][13] On 21 November, Spaniol was elected as The Left's lead candidate for the state election, winning 85.1% support.[14][15]

AfD

In January 2022, the Alternative for Germany's state list was withdrawn by the party trustees shortly before the deadline for candidate submissions passed. Two members of the party's state executive had arbitrarily switched out the trustees, who then withdrew the list. State chairman Christian Wirth alleged that the four members involved did not support the proposed lead candidate Kai Melling. The party still competed in all three regional constituencies, which together provided 41 of the 51 members of the Landtag. However, due to the lack of a state list, the AfD was without a lead candidate.[16]

Greens

At the Alliance 90/The Greens state congress on 7 January 2022, Lisa Becker was elected as lead candidate for the state election. She was one of three candidates alongside state chairwoman Uta Sullenberger and Kiymet Goektas; the former withdrew before the ballot and Becker defeated Goektas with 110 votes to 80.[17]

FDP

Angelika Hießerich-Peter was elected as the FDP's lead candidate for the election, winning 79% of votes at a party congress.[18]

Opinion polling

Graphical summary

Local regression of polls conducted.

Party polling

Zdroj:https://en.wikipedia.org?pojem=2022_Saarland_state_election
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Polling firm Fieldwork date Sample
size
CDU SPD Linke AfD Grüne FDP FW bunt.
saar
Others Lead
2022 state election 27 Mar 2022 28.5 43.5 2.6 5.7 5.0 4.8 1.7 1.4 6.8 15.0
Wahlkreisprognose 21–25 Mar 2022 940 28