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Renewable energy commercialization involves the deployment of three generations of renewable energy technologies dating back more than 100 years. First-generation technologies, which are already mature and economically competitive, include biomass, hydroelectricity, geothermal power and heat. Second-generation technologies are market-ready and are being deployed at the present time; they include solar heating, photovoltaics, wind power, solar thermal power stations, and modern forms of bioenergy. Third-generation technologies require continued R&D efforts in order to make large contributions on a global scale and include advanced biomass gasification, hot-dry-rock geothermal power, and ocean energy.[5] In 2019, nearly 75% of new installed electricity generation capacity used renewable energy[6] and the International Energy Agency (IEA) has predicted that by 2025, renewable capacity will meet 35% of global power generation.[7]
Public policy and political leadership helps to "level the playing field" and drive the wider acceptance of renewable energy technologies.[8][9][10] Countries such as Germany, Denmark, and Spain have led the way in implementing innovative policies which has driven most of the growth over the past decade. As of 2014, Germany has a commitment to the "Energiewende" transition to a sustainable energy economy, and Denmark has a commitment to 100% renewable energy by 2050. There are now 144 countries with renewable energy policy targets.
Renewable energy continued its rapid growth in 2015, providing multiple benefits. There was a new record set for installed wind and photovoltaic capacity (64GW and 57GW) and a new high of US$329 Billion for global renewables investment. A key benefit that this investment growth brings is a growth in jobs.[11] The top countries for investment in recent years were China, Germany, Spain, the United States, Italy, and Brazil.[9][12] Renewable energy companies include BrightSource Energy, First Solar, Gamesa, GE Energy, Goldwind, Sinovel, Targray, Trina Solar, Vestas, and Yingli.[13][14]
Climate change concerns[15][16][17] are also driving increasing growth in the renewable energy industries.[18][19] According to a 2011 projection by the IEA, solar power generators may produce most of the world's electricity within 50 years, reducing harmful greenhouse gas emissions.[20]
Background
Rationale for renewables
Climate change, pollution, and energy insecurity are significant problems, and addressing them requires major changes to energy infrastructures.[22] Renewable energy technologies are essential contributors to the energy supply portfolio, as they contribute to world energy security, reduce dependency on fossil fuels, and some also provide opportunities for mitigating greenhouse gases.[5] Climate-disrupting fossil fuels are being replaced by clean, climate-stabilizing, non-depletable sources of energy:
...the transition from coal, oil, and gas to wind, solar, and geothermal energy is well under way. In the old economy, energy was produced by burning something — oil, coal, or natural gas — leading to the carbon emissions that have come to define our economy. The new energy economy harnesses the energy in wind, the energy coming from the sun, and heat from within the earth itself.[23]
In international public opinion surveys there is strong support for a variety of methods for addressing the problem of energy supply. These methods include promoting renewable sources such as solar power and wind power, requiring utilities to use more renewable energy, and providing tax incentives to encourage the development and use of such technologies. It is expected that renewable energy investments will pay off economically in the long term.[24]
EU member countries have shown support for ambitious renewable energy goals. In 2010, Eurobarometer polled the twenty-seven EU member states about the target "to increase the share of renewable energy in the EU by 20 percent by 2020". Most people in all twenty-seven countries either approved of the target or called for it to go further. Across the EU, 57 percent thought the proposed goal was "about right" and 16 percent thought it was "too modest." In comparison, 19 percent said it was "too ambitious".[25]
As of 2011, new evidence has emerged that there are considerable risks associated with traditional energy sources, and that major changes to the mix of energy technologies is needed:
Several mining tragedies globally have underscored the human toll of the coal supply chain. New EPA initiatives targeting air toxics, coal ash, and effluent releases highlight the environmental impacts of coal and the cost of addressing them with control technologies. The use of fracking in natural gas exploration is coming under scrutiny, with evidence of groundwater contamination and greenhouse gas emissions. Concerns are increasing about the vast amounts of water used at coal-fired and nuclear power plants, particularly in regions of the country facing water shortages. Events at the Fukushima nuclear plant have renewed doubts about the ability to operate large numbers of nuclear plants safely over the long term. Further, cost estimates for "next generation" nuclear units continue to climb, and lenders are unwilling to finance these plants without taxpayer guarantees.[26]
The 2014 REN21 Global Status Report says that renewable energies are no longer just energy sources, but ways to address pressing social, political, economic and environmental problems:
Today, renewables are seen not only as sources of energy, but also as tools to address many other pressing needs, including: improving energy security; reducing the health and environmental impacts associated with fossil and nuclear energy; mitigating greenhouse gas emissions; improving educational opportunities; creating jobs; reducing poverty; and increasing gender equality... Renewables have entered the mainstream.[27]
Growth of renewables
In 2008 for the first time, more renewable energy than conventional power capacity was added in both the European Union and United States, demonstrating a "fundamental transition" of the world's energy markets towards renewables, according to a report released by REN21, a global renewable energy policy network based in Paris.[31] In 2010, renewable power consisted about a third of the newly built power generation capacities.[32]
By the end of 2011, total renewable power capacity worldwide exceeded 1,360 GW, up 8%. Renewables producing electricity accounted for almost half of the 208 GW of capacity added globally during 2011. Wind and solar photovoltaics (PV) accounted for almost 40% and 30%.[33] Based on REN21's 2014 report, renewables contributed 19 percent to our energy consumption and 22 percent to our electricity generation in 2012 and 2013, respectively. This energy consumption is divided as 9% coming from traditional biomass, 4.2% as heat energy (non-biomass), 3.8% hydro electricity and 2% electricity from wind, solar, geothermal, and biomass.[34]
During the five-years from the end of 2004 through 2009, worldwide renewable energy capacity grew at rates of 10–60 percent annually for many technologies, while actual production grew 1.2% overall.[35][36] In 2011, UN under-secretary general Achim Steiner said: "The continuing growth in this core segment of the green economy is not happening by chance. The combination of government target-setting, policy support and stimulus funds is underpinning the renewable industry's rise and bringing the much needed transformation of our global energy system within reach." He added: "Renewable energies are expanding both in terms of investment, projects and geographical spread. In doing so, they are making an increasing contribution to combating climate change, countering energy poverty and energy insecurity".[37]
According to a 2011 projection by the International Energy Agency, solar power plants may produce most of the world's electricity within 50 years, significantly reducing the emissions of greenhouse gases that harm the environment. The IEA has said: "Photovoltaic and solar-thermal plants may meet most of the world's demand for electricity by 2060 – and half of all energy needs – with wind, hydropower and biomass plants supplying much of the remaining generation". "Photovoltaic and concentrated solar power together can become the major source of electricity".[20]
Selected renewable energy global indicators | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Investment | |||||||||||||
Investment in new renewable capacity (annual) (billion USD) |
182 | 178 | 237 | 279 | 256 | 232 | 270 | 285.9 | 241.6 | 279.8 | 289 | 302 | 304 |
Power | |||||||||||||
Renewables power capacity (existing) (GWe) | 1,140 | 1,230 | 1,320 | 1,360 | 1,470 | 1,578 | 1,712 | 1,849 | 2,017 | 2,195 | 2,378 | 2,588 | 2,839 |
Hydropower capacity (existing) (GWe) | 885 | 915 | 945 | 970 | 990 | 1,018 | 1,055 | 1,064 | 1,096 | 1,114 | 1,132 | 1,150 | 1,170 |
Solar PV capacity (grid-connected) (GWe) | 16 | 23 | 40 | 70 | 100 | 138 | 177 | 227 | 303 | 402 | 505 | 627 | 760 |
Wind power capacity (existing) (GWe) | 121 | 159 | 198 | 238 | 283 | 319 | 370 | 433 | 487 | 539 | 591 | 651 | 743 |
Heat | |||||||||||||
Solar hot water capacity (existing) (2008-2018 GWth, 2019-2020 EJ) |
130 | 160 | 185 | 232 | 255 | 373 | 406 | 435 | 456 | 472 | 480 GWth (1.4 EJ[38]) |
1.4 | 1.5 |
Transport | |||||||||||||
Ethanol production (annual) (billion litres) | 67 | 76 | 86 | 86 | 83 | 87 | 94 | 98.8 | 98.6 | 106 | 112 | 114 | 105 |
Biodiesel production, fatty acid methyl ester (annual) (billion litres) |
12 | 17.8 | 18.5 | 21.4 | 22.5 | 26 | 29.7 | 30.1 | 30.8 | 31 | 34 | 47 | 39 |
Policy | |||||||||||||
Countries with renewable energy targets | 79 | 89 | 98 | 118 | 138 | 144 | 164 | 173 | 176 | 179 | 169 | 172 | 165 |
Source: REN21[39][40][41][42][43][44][45][46][47][48][49][38][50] |
In 2013, China led the world in renewable energy production, with a total capacity of 378 GW, mainly from hydroelectric and wind power. As of 2014, China leads the world in the production and use of wind power, solar photovoltaic power and smart grid technologies, generating almost as much water, wind and solar energy as all of France and Germany's power plants combined. China's renewable energy sector is growing faster than its fossil fuels and nuclear power capacity. Since 2005, production of solar cells in China has expanded 100-fold. As Chinese renewable manufacturing has grown, the costs of renewable energy technologies have dropped. Innovation has helped, but the main driver of reduced costs has been market expansion.[51]
See also renewable energy in the United States for US-figures.
Economic trends
Renewable energy technologies are getting cheaper, through technological change and through the benefits of mass production and market competition. A 2011 IEA report said: "A portfolio of renewable energy technologies is becoming cost-competitive in an increasingly broad range of circumstances, in some cases providing investment opportunities without the need for specific economic support," and added that "cost reductions in critical technologies, such as wind and solar, are set to continue."[54] As of 2011[update], there have been substantial reductions in the cost of solar and wind technologies:
Zdroj:https://en.wikipedia.org?pojem=Renewable_energy_development
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