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 Leading Republican 2012 primary candidate by state (parentheses indicate a shared lead, italics indicates polling data, non-italics indicates a primary win). Stars indicate a completed primary. States in gray have no polling data or no relevant data due to a leading candidate having withdrawn or declined to enter the race.
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 2012 U.S. presidential election | |
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This article contains opinion polling by U.S. state for the 2012 Republican Party presidential primaries.
As of May 2012, both Ron Paul and Mitt Romney have led polls in multiple states. They have both also reached at least 20 percent in polls in multiple states. Before announcing that they would not run, Mike Huckabee and Sarah Palin were also leading polls in multiple states with numbers above 20 percent. Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, Rick Perry, and Rick Santorum were also able to lead polls in multiple states earlier in the race, but Cain suspended his campaign on December 3 after multiple allegations of sexual impropriety,[1] Bachmann dropped out on January 4, one day after her poor showing in the Iowa caucuses, in which she came in sixth place and received just 5 percent of the vote,[2] Perry dropped out on January 19 after finishing fifth in Iowa with just over 10 percent of the vote, finishing sixth in New Hampshire with less than 1 percent of the vote and with "lagging" poll numbers ahead of the South Carolina primary,[3] and Santorum suspended his campaign on April 10.[4] Newt Gingrich announced he would drop out of the race after a poor showing in the northeast on April 24.[5]
Haley Barbour of Mississippi, Jeb Bush of Florida, Chris Christie of New Jersey, Jim DeMint of South Carolina, Bobby Jindal of Louisiana, Tim Pawlenty of Minnesota, Paul Ryan of Wisconsin and John Thune of South Dakota all succeeded in leading polls in their home states at some point in 2011, although only Pawlenty actually launched a campaign. Pawlenty exited the race on August 14, one day after finishing third in Iowa's Ames Straw Poll, citing a lack of campaign funds.[6][7]
Polling for completed primaries
- Winner
Rick Santorum- Caucus date
- January 3, 2012
- Delegates
- 28
| Poll source | Date | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caucus results
Turnout: 122,255 |
Jan. 3, 2012 | Rick Santorum 24.6% 
|
Mitt Romney 24.5% |
Ron Paul 21.5% |
Newt Gingrich 13.3%, Rick Perry 10.3%, Michele Bachmann 5.0%, Jon Huntsman 0.6%, No Preference 0.1%, Other 0.1%, Herman Cain 0.1%, Buddy Roemer 0.0% |
| InsiderAdvantage / Majority Opinion Research
Sample size: 729 |
Jan. 1, 2012 | Mitt Romney 22.7% |
Ron Paul 22.4% |
Rick Santorum 18% |
Newt Gingrich 16.1%, Rick Perry 9.6%, Michele Bachmann 5.8%, Jon Huntsman 1.8%, Someone Else 1.3%, No Opinion 2.3% |
| Public Policy Polling
Margin of error: ±2.7%
|
Dec. 31, 2011 – Jan. 1, 2012 | Ron Paul 20% |
Mitt Romney 19% |
Rick Santorum 18% |
Newt Gingrich 14%, Rick Perry 10%, Michele Bachmann 8%, Jon Huntsman 4%, Buddy Roemer 2%, Other 4% |
| American Research Group
Margin of error: 4%
|
Dec. 29 – Jan. 1, 2012 | Mitt Romney 22% |
Ron Paul 17% |
Rick Santorum 16% |
Newt Gingrich 15%, Rick Perry 9%, Michele Bachmann 8%, Jon Huntsman 4%, Buddy Roemer 1%, Someone Else 1%, Undecided 7% |
| Des Moines Register
Margin of error: ±4%
|
Dec. 27–30, 2011 | Mitt Romney 24% |
Ron Paul 22% |
Rick Santorum 15% |
Newt Gingrich 12%, Rick Perry 11%, Michele Bachmann 7%, Jon Huntsman 2% |
| We Ask America
Margin of error:
|
Dec. 29, 2011 | Mitt Romney 24% |
Rick Santorum 17% |
Ron Paul 14% |
Newt Gingrich 13%, Michele Bachmann 12%, Rick Perry 10%, Jon Huntsman 4%, Undecided 7% |
| InsiderAdvantage / Majority Opinion Research
Margin of error: ±4.7%
|
Dec. 28, 2011 | Ron Paul 17.3% |
Mitt Romney 17.2% |
Newt Gingrich 16.7% |
Rick Santorum 13.4%, Michele Bachmann 11.8%, Rick Perry 10.5%, Jon Huntsman 2.8%, Someone else 3%, no opinion 7.3% |
| Rasmussen
Margin of error: ±4%
|
Dec. 28, 2011 | Mitt Romney 23% |
Ron Paul 22% |
Rick Santorum 16% |
Newt Gingrich 13%, Rick Perry 13%, Michele Bachmann 5%, Jon Huntsman 3%, Someone else 1%, Undecided 6% |
| NBC News/Marist
Margin of error: ±4.7%
|
Dec. 27–28, 2011 | Mitt Romney 23% |
Ron Paul 21% |
Rick Santorum 15% |
Rick Perry 14%, Newt Gingrich 13%, Michele Bachmann 6%, Jon Huntsman 2%, Undecided 7% |
| American Research Group
Margin of error: ±4%
|
Dec. 26–28, 2011 | Mitt Romney 22% |
Newt Gingrich 17% |
Ron Paul 16% |
Rick Santorum 11%, Rick Perry 9%, Michele Bachmann 8%, Jon Huntsman 6%, Buddy Roemer 1% |
| Public Policy Polling
Margin of error: ±4.1%
|
Dec. 26–27, 2011 | Ron Paul 24% |
Mitt Romney 20% |
Newt Gingrich 13% |
Michele Bachmann 11%, Rick Perry 10%, Rick Santorum 10%, Jon Huntsman 4%, Buddy Roemer 2%, Someone else/Not sure 5% |
| CNN/Time Magazine
Margin of error: ±4.5%
|
Dec. 21–27, 2011 | Mitt Romney 25% |
Ron Paul 22% |
Rick Santorum 16% |
Newt Gingrich 14%, Rick Perry 11%, Michele Bachmann 9%, Jon Huntsman 1%, No opinion 2% |
| American Research Group
Margin of error: ±4%
|
Dec. 19–22, 2011 | Ron Paul 21% |
Mitt Romney 20% |
Newt Gingrich 19% |
Rick Perry 9%, Michele Bachmann 8%, Jon Huntsman 6%, Rick Santorum 4%, Buddy Roemer 1% |
| We Ask America
Margin of error: ±2.8%
|
Dec. 20, 2011 | Ron Paul 19% |
Mitt Romney 18% |
Newt Gingrich 16% |
Michele Bachmann 15%, Rick Perry 11%, Rick Santorum 9%, Jon Huntsman 4%, Uncertain 8% |
|
Rasmussen Reports
|
Dec. 19, 2011 | Mitt Romney 25% |
Ron Paul 20% |
Newt Gingrich 17% |
Rick Perry 10%, Rick Santorum 10%, Michele Bachmann 6%, Jon Huntsman 4%, Not sure 8%, Other 1% |
| InsiderAdvantage / Majority Opinion Research
Margin of error: ±5.7%
|
Dec. 18, 2011 | Ron Paul 23.9% |
Mitt Romney 18.2% |
Rick Perry 15.5% |
Newt Gingrich 12.9%, Michele Bachmann 10.1%, Jon Huntsman 3.8%, Rick Santorum 2.9%, Someone else 0.8%, No opinion 11.9% |
| Public Policy Polling
Margin of error: ±4%
|
Dec. 16–18, 2011 | Ron Paul 23% |
Mitt Romney 20% |
Newt Gingrich 14% |
Michele Bachmann 10%, Rick Perry 10%, Rick Santorum 10%, Jon Huntsman 4%, Gary Johnson 2%, Someone else/not sure 7% |
| Iowa State University / Cedar Rapids Gazette / KCRG
Margin of error: ±5%
|
Dec. 8–18, 2011 | Ron Paul 27.5% |
Newt Gingrich 25.3% |
Mitt Romney 17.5% |
Rick Perry 11.2%, Michele Bachmann 7.4%, Rick Santorum 4.9%, Herman Cain 0.4%, Jon Huntsman 0.3%, Can't decide 5.4% |
|
Rasmussen
|
Dec. 13, 2011 | Mitt Romney 23% |
Newt Gingrich 20% |
Ron Paul 18% |
Rick Perry 10%, Michele Bachmann 9%, Rick Santorum 6%, Jon Huntsman 5%, Not sure 8%, Other 2% |
| Public Policy Polling
Margin of error: ±4.2%
|
Dec. 11–13, 2011 | Newt Gingrich 22% |
Ron Paul 21% |
Mitt Romney 16% |
Michele Bachmann 11%, Rick Perry 9%, Rick Santorum 8%, Jon Huntsman 5%, Gary Johnson 1%, Someone else/Not sure 7% |
| InsiderAdvantage / Majority Opinion Research
Margin of error:
|
Dec. 12, 2011 | Newt Gingrich 27.1% |
Ron Paul 16.5% |
Rick Perry 13.2% |
Mitt Romney 11.9%, Michele Bachmann 10.3%, Rick Santorum 6.8%, Jon Huntsman 3.6%, Someone else 1.4%, No opinion 9.2% |
| American Research Group
Margin of error: ±4%
|
Dec. 8–11, 2011 | Newt Gingrich 22% |
Ron Paul 17% |
Mitt Romney 17% |
Rick Perry 13%, Michele Bachmann 7%, Rick Santorum 7%, Jon Huntsman 5%, Other 1%, Undecided 12% |
| University of Iowa Hawkeye
Margin of error: ±6%
|
Nov. 30 – Dec. 7, 2011 | Newt Gingrich 29.8% |
Mitt Romney 20.3% |
Ron Paul 10.7% |
Michele Bachmann 8.5%, Rick Perry 8.2%, Rick Santorum 5.3%, Herman Cain 4.4%, Jon Huntsman 1.5%, Someone else 0.9%, Don't know/refused 10.5% |
| CNN / Time Magazine
Margin of error: ±5%
|
Nov. 29 – Dec. 6, 2011 | Newt Gingrich 33% |
Mitt Romney 20% |
Ron Paul 17% |
Rick Perry 9%, Michele Bachmann 7%, Rick Santorum 5%, Jon Huntsman 1%, None 2%, No Opinion 5% |
| CBS News / New York Times
Margin of error: ±4%
|
Nov. 30 – Dec. 5, 2011 | Newt Gingrich 31% |
Mitt Romney 17% |
Ron Paul 16% |
Rick Perry 11%, Michele Bachmann 9%, Rick Santorum 4%, Jon Huntsman 1% |
| Newt Gingrich 28% Zdroj:https://en.wikipedia.org?pojem=Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_January_2012_Republican_Party_presidential_primaries Text je dostupný za podmienok Creative Commons Attribution/Share-Alike License 3.0 Unported; prípadne za ďalších podmienok. Podrobnejšie informácie nájdete na stránke Podmienky použitia.
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