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All 119 seats in the Landtag of Saxony 60 seats needed for a majority | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| Turnout | 2,166,457 (66.5%) 17.4% | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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 Results for the single-member constituencies | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2019 Saxony state election was held on 1 September 2019 to elect the members of the 7th Landtag of Saxony. The outgoing government was a grand coalition of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and Social Democratic Party (SPD) led by Minister-President Michael Kretschmer.
The CDU, SPD, and The Left suffered heavy losses. The Alternative for Germany (AfD) moved into second place with 27.5% of votes, an increase of almost 18 percentage points. The Left fell from second to third place, underperforming opinion polls with 10%. The Greens recorded an improvement to 8.6%, but also fared more poorly than expected. The SPD fell to fifth place with 8%.[1] The election saw a major increase in voter turnout, rising from less than half in 2014 to 66.5% in 2019.
The incumbent grand coalition lost its majority, necessitating the formation of a new government. The CDU subsequently negotiated a "Kenya coalition" with the Greens and SPD. Michael Kretschmer was re-elected as Minister-President on 20 December.[2]
Background
In the 2014 state election, the CDU entered into coalition with the SPD. Since then, Saxony emerged as a stronghold of the Alternative for Germany (AfD), which achieved its best results in Saxony in national elections since. It won narrow pluralities in the state in both the 2017 federal election, winning 27.0%, and the 2019 European elections, winning 25.3%.[3]
In May 2019, the Saxon electoral commission ruled that two-thirds of AfD's candidate list was invalid due to the party's decision to split them across two lists.[4] However, in July, a court partially overturned this decision, ruling half of the party's list eligible.[5]
Parties
The table below lists parties represented in the 6th Landtag of Saxony.
| Name | Ideology | Leader(s) | 2014 result | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes (%) | Seats | |||||
| CDU | Christian Democratic Union of Germany Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands |
Christian democracy | Michael Kretschmer | 39.4% | 59 / 126
| |
| Linke | The Left Die Linke |
Democratic socialism | Rico Gebhardt | 18.9% | 27 / 126
| |
| SPD | Social Democratic Party of Germany Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands |
Social democracy | Martin Dulig | 12.4% | 18 / 126
| |
| AfD | Alternative for Germany Alternative für Deutschland |
German nationalism Right-wing populism |
Jörg Urban | 9.7% | 14 / 126
| |
| Grüne | Alliance 90/The Greens Bündnis 90/Die Grünen |
Green politics | Katja Meier Wolfram Günther |
5.7% | 8 / 126
| |
Opinion polling
Graphical summary
Party polling
| Polling firm | Fieldwork date | Sample size |
CDU | Linke | SPD | AfD | Grüne | NPD | FDP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 state election | 1 Sep 2019 | – | 32.1 | 10.4 | 7.7 | 27.5 | 8.6 | 0.6 | 4.5 | 8.6 | 4.6 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 26–29 Aug 2019 | 1,657 | 32 | 14 | 8.5 | 24.5 | 11 | – | 5 | 5 | 7.5 |
| Civey | 4–28 Aug 2019 | 5,015 | 29.0 | 15.0 | 8.9 | 24.9 | 10.9 | – | 5.7 | 5.6 | 4.1 |
| INSA | 19–26 Aug 2019 | 1,018 | 29 | 15 | 8 | 25 | 11 | – | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| Forschungsgruppe Wahlen | 19–22 Aug 2019 | 1,068 | 31 | 14 | 9 | 25 | 10 | – | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| Infratest dimap | 19–21 Aug 2019 | 1,002 | 30 | 16 | 7 | 24 | 11 | – | 5 | 7 | 6 |
| Civey | 23 Jul–20 Aug 2019 | 5,016 | 28.0 | 15.0 | 8.5 | 25.2 | 11.4 | – | 5.5 | 6.4 | Zdroj:https://en.wikipedia.org?pojem=2019_Saxony_state_election